Tocantinópolis vs Capital analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.2%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.1%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.5%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.7%
12.1%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-39%
+30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tocantinópolis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2016 |
TOC
2 - 1
GUR
51%
25%
25%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2016 |
INT
1 - 1
TOC
55%
22%
23%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
PAL
1 - 0
TOC
32%
25%
43%
|
37 | 29 | 8 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2016 |
JUV
2 - 0
TOC
77%
16%
7%
|
37 | 63 | 26 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
TOC
2 - 0
PAR
55%
24%
21%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Capital
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2016 |
CAP
1 - 1
PAL
19%
21%
60%
|
19 | 31 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2016 |
GUR
1 - 0
CAP
74%
15%
11%
|
19 | 34 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
ARA
1 - 1
CAP
66%
19%
15%
|
19 | 29 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2016 |
CAP
0 - 1
INT
19%
22%
60%
|
20 | 37 | 17 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
TOC
3 - 3
CAP
68%
17%
15%
|
19 | 28 | 9 | +1 |