Série D Brazil Preliminary Round Final
Global 3-3
Tocantinópolis vs Picos SE analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.9%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.1%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.2%
25%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
43.1%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tocantinópolis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2021 |
ARA
1 - 0
TOC
30%
22%
48%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2021 |
TOC
4 - 1
GUR
37%
25%
38%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
NCO
0 - 3
TOC
18%
19%
63%
|
29 | 17 | 12 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2021 |
TOC
0 - 1
INT
41%
25%
33%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
CAP
0 - 0
TOC
17%
19%
64%
|
31 | 18 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Picos SE
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2021 |
ALT
1 - 1
PIC
71%
18%
11%
|
36 | 49 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2021 |
PIC
0 - 1
4DE
26%
25%
49%
|
37 | 46 | 9 | -1 |
| 09 May. 2021 |
FPI
2 - 1
PIC
58%
21%
21%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | -1 |
| 02 May. 2021 |
PIC
0 - 1
FLA
48%
25%
27%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2021 |
4DE
1 - 1
PIC
55%
24%
21%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | +1 |