Tocantinópolis vs Paragominas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.8%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.4%
1-0
5%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.7%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.2%
61.1%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
10%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.7%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.8%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.9%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tocantinópolis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
TOC
0 - 2
4DE
17%
21%
62%
|
30 | 45 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
GUA
2 - 1
TOC
66%
19%
15%
|
30 | 41 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
PAL
2 - 1
TOC
51%
23%
26%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | -1 |
| 31 Jul. 2021 |
TOC
0 - 1
JCA
39%
24%
37%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Jul. 2021 |
IMP
3 - 2
TOC
62%
20%
18%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Paragominas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
PAR
4 - 1
IMP
52%
22%
26%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
MOT
1 - 4
PAR
57%
23%
21%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | +2 |
| 08 Aug. 2021 |
PAR
0 - 0
JCA
58%
21%
21%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2021 |
PAR
1 - 1
PAL
56%
21%
23%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2021 |
4DE
4 - 0
PAR
55%
24%
21%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | -1 |