Tocantinópolis vs Náutico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
5%
Win probability
0.37
Expected goals
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.5%
3-1
0.1%
4-2
<0%
+2
0.7%
1-0
2.9%
2-1
1.2%
3-2
0.2%
4-3
<0%
+1
4.2%
15.6%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
1.3%
3-3
0.1%
0
15.6%
79.3%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
0-1
17.2%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
25%
0-2
18.6%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
24.1%
0-3
13.4%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.2%
-3
16.3%
0-4
7.3%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
8.5%
0-5
3.1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
3.6%
0-6
1.1%
1-7
0.1%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tocantinópolis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2022 |
GUR
0 - 2
TOC
28%
24%
48%
|
34 | 24 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2022 |
TOC
2 - 1
ARA
54%
22%
24%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2022 |
PAL
1 - 2
TOC
39%
26%
35%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2022 |
TOC
0 - 0
INT
44%
26%
30%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2022 |
CAP
2 - 1
TOC
15%
18%
67%
|
34 | 18 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2022 |
CSA
3 - 1
NAU
59%
22%
19%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2022 |
VCR
1 - 2
NAU
7%
18%
76%
|
69 | 41 | 28 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2022 |
NAU
3 - 0
ALA
85%
11%
5%
|
69 | 48 | 21 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2022 |
NAU
2 - 2
FOR
28%
27%
45%
|
69 | 84 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2022 |
NAU
1 - 2
RFC
81%
12%
7%
|
69 | 48 | 21 | 0 |