Tocantinópolis vs Miracema EC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
79.5%
Win probability
2.73
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.4%
5-0
4%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.5%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.8%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.2%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
13.2%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.2%
7.3%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.4%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tocantinópolis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2005 |
TOC
4 - 0
AAA
75%
15%
10%
|
38 | 21 | 17 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2005 |
ARA
4 - 0
TOC
58%
21%
21%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2003 |
VIT
0 - 1
TOC
95%
4%
1%
|
38 | 80 | 42 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2003 |
TOC
1 - 2
VIT
5%
16%
79%
|
38 | 80 | 42 | 0 |
Matches
Miracema EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2005 |
MEC
1 - 3
ARA
31%
24%
46%
|
13 | 41 | 28 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2005 |
PAR
1 - 0
MEC
73%
16%
11%
|
14 | 21 | 7 | -1 |