Tocantinópolis vs Juventude Caxais analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
10%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.2%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.8%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
17.9%
10.1%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tocantinópolis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jun. 2022 |
MOT
1 - 2
TOC
65%
20%
15%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2022 |
TOC
0 - 0
4DE
55%
24%
21%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2022 |
CAS
2 - 1
TOC
49%
25%
26%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 May. 2022 |
TOC
4 - 1
CAS
33%
26%
41%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | +3 |
| 21 May. 2022 |
4DE
2 - 2
TOC
43%
27%
30%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Juventude Caxais
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jun. 2022 |
PAC
0 - 1
JCA
69%
20%
11%
|
34 | 45 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2022 |
JCA
1 - 0
CAS
15%
22%
63%
|
30 | 47 | 17 | +4 |
| 04 Jun. 2022 |
4DE
2 - 2
JCA
72%
17%
11%
|
29 | 43 | 14 | +1 |
| 28 May. 2022 |
JCA
0 - 0
4DE
21%
22%
58%
|
28 | 43 | 15 | +1 |
| 21 May. 2022 |
CAS
0 - 0
JCA
82%
14%
5%
|
28 | 48 | 20 | 0 |