Tocantinense Semi-finals
Global 2-2
Tocantinópolis vs Gurupi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.4%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
26.8%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-39%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tocantinópolis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2015 |
GUR
1 - 0
TOC
47%
24%
29%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2015 |
GUA
1 - 3
TOC
23%
23%
55%
|
36 | 23 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2015 |
TOC
2 - 1
GUR
49%
25%
26%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2015 |
TOC
1 - 0
PAL
46%
24%
30%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
PAR
0 - 0
TOC
34%
25%
40%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Gurupi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2015 |
GUR
1 - 0
TOC
47%
24%
29%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2015 |
GUR
2 - 0
PAL
47%
24%
29%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2015 |
TOC
2 - 1
GUR
49%
25%
26%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2015 |
GUR
1 - 1
ARA
63%
21%
17%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
INT
2 - 2
GUR
55%
23%
23%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | 0 |