Tocantinense Semi-finals
Global 3-5
Tocantinópolis vs Gurupi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.5%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.3%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
33.1%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tocantinópolis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
TOC
2 - 1
INT
50%
23%
28%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2012 |
PAL
2 - 4
TOC
26%
26%
49%
|
34 | 24 | 10 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
PAR
3 - 0
TOC
34%
24%
42%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | -2 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
TOC
2 - 0
GUR
38%
25%
37%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | +2 |
| 07 Mar. 2012 |
TOC
4 - 0
TOC
69%
17%
14%
|
34 | 22 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Gurupi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
CEC
1 - 3
GUR
29%
23%
48%
|
38 | 26 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
GUR
5 - 0
PAL
78%
15%
7%
|
38 | 23 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2012 |
GUR
3 - 0
PAR
61%
21%
18%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
GUA
1 - 1
GUR
37%
23%
39%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2012 |
ATL
4 - 2
GUR
83%
12%
5%
|
38 | 77 | 39 | -1 |