Tocantinense Final
Global 2-5
Tocantinópolis vs Gurupi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.3%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
6%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.7%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.3%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
36%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tocantinópolis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2012 |
GUR
3 - 2
TOC
58%
22%
20%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2012 |
INT
1 - 3
TOC
48%
22%
30%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2012 |
TOC
10 - 0
PAL
82%
13%
6%
|
36 | 20 | 16 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
TOC
2 - 0
PAR
65%
19%
16%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2012 |
GUR
2 - 0
TOC
56%
23%
22%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Gurupi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2012 |
GUR
3 - 2
TOC
58%
22%
20%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2012 |
GUR
1 - 1
CEC
67%
19%
15%
|
41 | 29 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2012 |
PAR
2 - 6
GUR
26%
23%
51%
|
40 | 27 | 13 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
GUR
4 - 1
GUA
63%
20%
17%
|
40 | 31 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2012 |
GUR
2 - 0
TOC
56%
23%
22%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | +1 |