Tocantinópolis vs Gurupi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.2%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.2%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
36.5%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+41%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tocantinópolis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2012 |
TOC
4 - 0
TOC
69%
17%
14%
|
34 | 22 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
CEC
0 - 2
TOC
39%
24%
37%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
TOC
1 - 1
GUA
56%
21%
23%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2011 |
ANA
6 - 1
TOC
76%
16%
8%
|
33 | 50 | 17 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
TOC
3 - 0
TUP
17%
25%
59%
|
33 | 55 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Gurupi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2012 |
GUR
0 - 1
ATL
9%
17%
74%
|
39 | 78 | 39 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
GUR
2 - 1
INT
59%
21%
20%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
TOC
1 - 2
GUR
25%
23%
53%
|
38 | 23 | 15 | +1 |
| 04 Jun. 2011 |
GUR
0 - 1
INT
61%
20%
19%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | -1 |
| 28 May. 2011 |
INT
1 - 2
GUR
41%
24%
36%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | 0 |