Tocantinópolis vs Athletico Paranaense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
7.1%
Win probability
0.4
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.8%
3-1
0.2%
4-2
<0%
+2
1.1%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
1.5%
3-2
0.2%
4-3
<0%
+1
5.9%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
10.4%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
1.4%
3-3
0.1%
0
19.7%
73.2%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
0-1
19.4%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.5%
0-2
18.1%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
23%
0-3
11.2%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.2%
-3
13.5%
0-4
5.2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0%
-4
6.1%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tocantinópolis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2022 |
TOC
3 - 1
TUN
14%
21%
65%
|
39 | 55 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
TOC
3 - 0
INT
57%
24%
19%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2022 |
INT
0 - 0
TOC
35%
25%
40%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2022 |
TOC
1 - 2
UAC
70%
18%
13%
|
39 | 21 | 18 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2022 |
UAC
0 - 1
TOC
15%
17%
68%
|
39 | 21 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Athletico Paranaense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2022 |
ATP
0 - 1
ATM
22%
25%
54%
|
84 | 90 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2022 |
ATP
1 - 0
STR
64%
21%
15%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2022 |
SAO
4 - 0
ATP
56%
24%
20%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2022 |
CFC
0 - 0
ATP
30%
28%
42%
|
84 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2022 |
COT
1 - 1
ATP
33%
28%
39%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |