Tocantinópolis vs AA Alvorada analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.9%
Win probability
2.71
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.3%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
8.7%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.6%
2-0
8%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.7%
15.8%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
15.8%
13.3%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tocantinópolis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2006 |
TOC
3 - 1
PAL
54%
22%
24%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2006 |
PAR
1 - 3
TOC
31%
25%
43%
|
39 | 26 | 13 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2006 |
GUR
2 - 2
TOC
52%
23%
26%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2006 |
TOC
2 - 1
CEC
52%
23%
26%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2006 |
INT
1 - 0
TOC
50%
22%
28%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
AA Alvorada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2006 |
AAA
1 - 0
PAR
34%
25%
41%
|
18 | 25 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2006 |
AAA
0 - 1
PAL
26%
25%
49%
|
18 | 38 | 20 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2006 |
AAA
0 - 2
INT
26%
25%
49%
|
19 | 38 | 19 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2006 |
TOC
1 - 3
AAA
63%
19%
19%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2006 |
GUR
2 - 3
AAA
70%
16%
14%
|
17 | 40 | 23 | +1 |