Tocantinense Knock-out stages Semi-finals
Global 2-2
Tocantinópolis vs União TO analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.9%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.9%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17.5%
12.5%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+113%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tocantinópolis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2022 |
UAC
0 - 1
TOC
15%
17%
68%
|
39 | 21 | 18 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2022 |
TOC
2 - 0
CAS
10%
19%
72%
|
37 | 60 | 23 | +2 |
| 12 Mar. 2022 |
TOC
13 - 1
TMI
63%
20%
17%
|
36 | 20 | 16 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2022 |
NCO
2 - 3
TOC
16%
18%
66%
|
36 | 20 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2022 |
TOC
2 - 0
UAC
65%
19%
15%
|
36 | 21 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
União TO
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2022 |
UAC
0 - 1
TOC
15%
17%
68%
|
21 | 39 | 18 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2022 |
UAC
1 - 0
BVI
51%
22%
27%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2022 |
INT
1 - 1
UAC
67%
18%
15%
|
21 | 34 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2022 |
TOC
2 - 0
UAC
65%
19%
15%
|
21 | 36 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2022 |
UAC
2 - 1
GUR
34%
23%
43%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | +1 |