Série D Brazil Final Stages 1/16
Global 2-5
Tocantinópolis vs Manauara EC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.9%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.1%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.4%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.6%
39.5%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tocantinópolis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
TOC
1 - 0
MOT
44%
26%
31%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2024 |
CAM
3 - 1
TOC
42%
25%
33%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | -2 |
| 07 Jul. 2024 |
TOC
1 - 1
FPI
45%
25%
30%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | +1 |
| 04 Jul. 2024 |
ALT
2 - 1
TOC
62%
22%
16%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | -1 |
| 23 Jun. 2024 |
TOC
0 - 3
RIV
44%
26%
30%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Manauara EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
RIO
1 - 2
MEC
23%
25%
52%
|
51 | 38 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
MEC
4 - 0
SAO
57%
22%
21%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 Jul. 2024 |
POR
1 - 1
MEC
40%
25%
35%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
PRI
0 - 0
MEC
31%
26%
44%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2024 |
MEC
0 - 0
MAN
35%
26%
39%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | 0 |