Tocantinópolis vs 4 de Julho analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.6%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.8%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
24%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
21.4%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tocantinópolis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 2022 |
CAS
2 - 1
TOC
49%
25%
26%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2022 |
TOC
4 - 1
CAS
33%
26%
41%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | +3 |
| 21 May. 2022 |
4DE
2 - 2
TOC
43%
27%
30%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2022 |
TOC
2 - 0
MOT
30%
27%
43%
|
39 | 47 | 8 | +3 |
| 11 May. 2022 |
ATP
4 - 0
TOC
85%
12%
3%
|
40 | 84 | 44 | -1 |
Matches
4 de Julho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 2022 |
4DE
2 - 2
JCA
72%
17%
11%
|
43 | 29 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2022 |
JCA
0 - 0
4DE
21%
22%
58%
|
43 | 28 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2022 |
4DE
2 - 2
TOC
43%
27%
30%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2022 |
FPI
0 - 0
4DE
65%
21%
14%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2022 |
4DE
0 - 3
CAS
34%
28%
38%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | -1 |