Tobol Kurgan vs NoSta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.4%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.5%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.4%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
58.9%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
10.9%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.2%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.8%
0-4
3%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+33%
-50%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tobol Kurgan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jun. 2003 |
TOB
1 - 1
GAZ
15%
22%
63%
|
16 | 46 | 30 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2003 |
NUF
3 - 0
TOB
78%
15%
7%
|
17 | 37 | 20 | -1 |
| 31 May. 2003 |
ALA
0 - 0
TOB
79%
14%
7%
|
16 | 35 | 19 | +1 |
| 25 May. 2003 |
TOB
0 - 1
VOL
15%
22%
63%
|
17 | 44 | 27 | -1 |
| 22 May. 2003 |
TOB
1 - 0
ENE
42%
24%
35%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
NoSta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jun. 2003 |
ZEN
1 - 2
NOS
28%
27%
45%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2003 |
GAZ
1 - 1
NOS
57%
25%
18%
|
37 | 46 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2003 |
NOS
4 - 1
ALA
53%
23%
24%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | +1 |
| 22 May. 2003 |
NOS
1 - 0
NUF
45%
26%
29%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 May. 2003 |
ENE
2 - 3
NOS
24%
26%
50%
|
34 | 19 | 15 | +1 |