Tobol Kurgan vs Ilpar Ilyinsky analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
8.8%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.9%
1-0
2.4%
2-1
2.7%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
6.3%
14.1%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
14.1%
77.1%
Win probability
2.7
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.7%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
8%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21.3%
0-3
9.7%
1-4
5.4%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
16.5%
0-4
6.6%
1-5
2.9%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
10.1%
0-5
3.6%
1-6
1.3%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
5.1%
0-6
1.6%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.2%
0-7
0.6%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.8%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+67%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tobol Kurgan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jul. 2021 |
FST
5 - 0
TOB
82%
11%
6%
|
18 | 30 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2021 |
TOB
2 - 4
FTM
23%
20%
57%
|
18 | 25 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2021 |
SKO
1 - 1
TOB
55%
20%
25%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2021 |
TOB
1 - 3
FKT
24%
21%
56%
|
19 | 26 | 7 | -1 |
| 19 Jun. 2021 |
FAS
3 - 1
TOB
44%
22%
34%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Ilpar Ilyinsky
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jul. 2021 |
FII
10 - 0
MSU
93%
5%
2%
|
37 | 7 | 30 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2021 |
IRT
1 - 2
FII
17%
18%
65%
|
37 | 23 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2021 |
FST
3 - 3
FII
31%
22%
47%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2021 |
FII
3 - 0
FTM
78%
13%
9%
|
37 | 26 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2021 |
SKO
3 - 5
FII
13%
17%
71%
|
36 | 20 | 16 | +1 |