Tobol Kurgan vs Ilpar Ilyinsky analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
8.3%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
0.9%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.8%
1-0
2.3%
2-1
2.5%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
6%
13.8%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.8%
77.9%
Win probability
2.73
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.6%
0-2
11%
1-3
7.9%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21.4%
0-3
10%
1-4
5.4%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
16.7%
0-4
6.8%
1-5
3%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
10.3%
0-5
3.7%
1-6
1.3%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
5.3%
0-6
1.7%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.3%
0-7
0.7%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.9%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+154%
-24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tobol Kurgan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2020 |
SKO
3 - 4
TOB
64%
18%
18%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2020 |
TOB
0 - 5
MIA
6%
12%
83%
|
19 | 48 | 29 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2020 |
TOB
0 - 3
TOB
82%
12%
7%
|
18 | 27 | 9 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2020 |
TOB
1 - 0
FKT
16%
18%
65%
|
16 | 25 | 9 | +2 |
| 21 Sep. 2020 |
MMM
2 - 0
TOB
91%
7%
2%
|
16 | 44 | 28 | 0 |
Matches
Ilpar Ilyinsky
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2020 |
FCC
3 - 3
FII
14%
17%
69%
|
38 | 22 | 16 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2020 |
FII
6 - 3
IRT
64%
18%
18%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2020 |
FII
2 - 3
MMM
33%
24%
42%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2020 |
SKO
0 - 3
FII
12%
16%
72%
|
38 | 21 | 17 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 2020 |
FII
0 - 2
MIA
30%
24%
46%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | -2 |