Q. Europa League 1st Round Final
Global 2-4
Tobol Kostanay vs Zrinjski Mostar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.5%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
25.1%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tobol Kostanay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jun. 2010 |
AST
2 - 0
TOB
47%
25%
28%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2010 |
TOB
2 - 0
ORD
65%
21%
14%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2010 |
AKZ
0 - 2
TOB
20%
26%
54%
|
77 | 57 | 20 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2010 |
TOB
0 - 1
ZHE
56%
23%
21%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2010 |
TOB
2 - 1
FCA
48%
25%
27%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Zrinjski Mostar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2010 |
SIR
2 - 1
ZRI
43%
26%
31%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2010 |
ZRI
2 - 0
ČEL
66%
21%
13%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | +1 |
| 15 May. 2010 |
LEO
2 - 3
ZRI
31%
27%
43%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2010 |
ZRI
2 - 1
LAK
65%
21%
14%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2010 |
SAR
3 - 0
ZRI
47%
25%
28%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |