Tobol Kostanay vs Shakhter Karagandy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.6%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.4%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
29.9%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
1º
9º
8º
28
9º
13º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
58 | 61 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
52 | 53 |
2º
|
73.5% | |
|
3º
|
49 | 52 |
3º
|
73.5% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 44 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
39 | 39 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
36 | 36 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
34 | 34 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
|
8º
|
34 | 34 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
28 | 29 |
9º
|
20.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
28 | 29 |
10º
|
19.5% | |
|
11º
|
28 | 28 |
11º
|
50% | |
|
12º
|
26 | 27 |
12º
|
52.5% | |
|
13º
|
18 | 18 |
13º
|
59.5% | |
|
14º
|
17 | 17 |
14º
|
59.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 50.5% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 49.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tobol Kostanay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2023 |
KAS
0 - 1
TOB
25%
27%
48%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
TOB
3 - 1
AKS
54%
25%
22%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
MET
3 - 1
TOB
44%
25%
30%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
TOB
5 - 1
SPA
71%
17%
12%
|
75 | 59 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2023 |
YEN
1 - 2
TOB
31%
24%
45%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Shakhter Karagandy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2023 |
SHA
1 - 4
ORD
43%
26%
31%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
AST
2 - 1
SHA
51%
23%
25%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2023 |
YEN
2 - 4
SHA
28%
24%
48%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
VAL
1 - 1
SHA
51%
23%
26%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2023 |
VOL
3 - 1
SHA
13%
21%
66%
|
77 | 59 | 18 | 0 |