Tobol Kostanay vs Shakhter Karagandy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.5%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.9%
1-0
13%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
26.4%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tobol Kostanay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 2004 |
ORD
1 - 1
TOB
35%
27%
38%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2004 |
TAR
2 - 0
TOB
32%
27%
41%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2004 |
TOB
0 - 0
FCI
48%
27%
25%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2004 |
TOB
1 - 0
KYZ
53%
25%
22%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2004 |
FCI
1 - 2
TOB
48%
25%
27%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Shakhter Karagandy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 2004 |
SHA
1 - 0
FCI
43%
29%
28%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2004 |
SHA
2 - 0
EKI
50%
27%
23%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2004 |
KAI
0 - 0
SHA
51%
25%
24%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2004 |
ZHE
2 - 1
SHA
38%
27%
35%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2004 |
FCA
3 - 0
SHA
54%
24%
22%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |