Tobol Kostanay vs Ordabasy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.7%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.6%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
36.8%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
1º
9º
8º
58
1º
4º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
58 | 61 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
52 | 53 |
2º
|
73.5% | |
|
3º
|
49 | 52 |
3º
|
73.5% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 44 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
39 | 39 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
36 | 36 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
34 | 34 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
|
8º
|
34 | 34 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
28 | 29 |
9º
|
20.5% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 29 |
10º
|
19.5% | |
|
11º
|
28 | 28 |
11º
|
50% | |
|
12º
|
26 | 27 |
12º
|
52.5% | |
|
13º
|
18 | 18 |
13º
|
59.5% | |
|
14º
|
17 | 17 |
14º
|
59.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 100% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tobol Kostanay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2023 |
TOB
1 - 2
VKP
34%
26%
41%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
FCA
1 - 1
TOB
48%
25%
27%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2023 |
DER
1 - 0
TOB
45%
25%
30%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
KAI
2 - 1
TOB
48%
25%
27%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2023 |
TOB
1 - 0
DER
46%
25%
29%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Ordabasy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
ORD
1 - 0
KAI
41%
25%
34%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
KAI
2 - 3
ORD
26%
27%
47%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2023 |
WAR
3 - 2
ORD
57%
22%
22%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2023 |
ORD
2 - 2
WAR
47%
25%
27%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
ORD
2 - 1
KYZ
55%
25%
20%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |