Tobol Kostanay vs Okzhetpes Kokshetau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
17.4%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
-1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
1º
9º
8º
26
5º
12º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
58 | 61 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
52 | 53 |
2º
|
73.5% | |
|
3º
|
49 | 52 |
3º
|
73.5% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 44 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
39 | 39 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
36 | 36 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
34 | 34 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
|
8º
|
34 | 34 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
28 | 29 |
9º
|
20.5% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 29 |
10º
|
19.5% | |
|
11º
|
28 | 28 |
11º
|
50% | |
|
|
12º
|
26 | 27 |
12º
|
52.5% | |
|
13º
|
18 | 18 |
13º
|
59.5% | |
|
14º
|
17 | 17 |
14º
|
59.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 36% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 64% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tobol Kostanay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2023 |
HON
0 - 0
TOB
32%
26%
43%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2023 |
TOB
2 - 1
HON
56%
23%
21%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2023 |
ATY
0 - 1
TOB
30%
25%
45%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2023 |
TOB
1 - 0
ATY
59%
24%
18%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | +1 |
| 28 Jun. 2023 |
TOB
1 - 0
ATY
56%
23%
21%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Okzhetpes Kokshetau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jul. 2023 |
OKZ
0 - 1
KAI
30%
25%
46%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2023 |
OKZ
0 - 4
ORD
34%
26%
40%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2023 |
KAI
0 - 1
OKZ
40%
27%
33%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Jun. 2023 |
OKZ
0 - 1
KAI
54%
23%
23%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | -1 |
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
KAI
2 - 1
OKZ
62%
21%
17%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | 0 |