Intertoto Cup Final
Global 2-0
Tobol Kostanay vs OFI analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.6%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
18%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tobol Kostanay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jul. 2007 |
SLI
0 - 2
TOB
65%
21%
15%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2007 |
TOB
1 - 1
SLI
39%
28%
34%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2007 |
ZES
2 - 0
TOB
47%
25%
28%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2007 |
TOB
3 - 0
ZES
47%
26%
27%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2007 |
SHA
3 - 1
TOB
45%
27%
28%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
OFI
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2007 |
PAO
1 - 0
OFI
69%
19%
12%
|
71 | 83 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2007 |
OFI
3 - 1
PAN
28%
28%
45%
|
70 | 83 | 13 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2007 |
XAN
4 - 1
OFI
41%
30%
29%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2007 |
OFI
2 - 1
ION
67%
21%
12%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2007 |
AIG
1 - 2
OFI
44%
28%
29%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |