Tobol Kostanay vs Kairat Almaty analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.5%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.9%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
32.2%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
+27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tobol Kostanay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2025 |
FCA
0 - 0
TOB
44%
26%
30%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2025 |
TOB
2 - 1
OKZ
40%
27%
33%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2025 |
FKY
2 - 3
TOB
50%
24%
27%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2025 |
TOB
2 - 2
FKZ
49%
27%
25%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2025 |
TOB
2 - 1
FKZ
47%
25%
28%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Kairat Almaty
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jul. 2025 |
KUO
2 - 0
KAI
48%
24%
28%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2025 |
KAI
1 - 1
KAI
49%
24%
27%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2025 |
KAI
2 - 0
OLI
55%
22%
23%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2025 |
OLI
1 - 1
KAI
45%
24%
31%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2025 |
KAI
4 - 0
FKT
54%
23%
23%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |