Tobol Kostanay vs Zhenis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.6%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.8%
1-0
15%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
25.9%
19.5%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
+8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
39
1º
7º
5º
25
6º
12º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
47 | 47 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
46 | 46 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
43 | 43 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
42 | 42 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
39 | 39 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 37 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 34 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 27 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
25 | 25 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
23 | 23 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
20 | 20 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
10 | 10 |
13º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tobol Kostanay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
AST
2 - 2
TOB
48%
25%
27%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
KAI
0 - 3
TOB
30%
25%
45%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2024 |
KYZ
0 - 0
TOB
33%
28%
39%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2024 |
TOB
4 - 2
FKY
60%
24%
16%
|
77 | 61 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
TOB
2 - 0
FKT
39%
27%
34%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Zhenis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
FKZ
1 - 0
FKT
29%
27%
44%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
FKZ
0 - 1
AST
28%
24%
48%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
KYZ
4 - 0
FKZ
48%
27%
24%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2024 |
FCA
3 - 0
FKZ
62%
22%
16%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2024 |
FKZ
1 - 0
SHA
31%
28%
42%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | +1 |