UCL Qualifying First Round Final
Global 1-5
Tobol Kostanay vs Ferencvárosi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.1%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
33.4%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tobol Kostanay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jul. 2022 |
FKT
2 - 2
TOB
33%
29%
38%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2022 |
KYZ
1 - 3
TOB
36%
28%
36%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2022 |
TOB
1 - 0
KAS
55%
25%
20%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2022 |
TOB
4 - 2
MAQ
61%
23%
16%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | +1 |
| 14 May. 2022 |
FCA
2 - 1
TOB
29%
27%
44%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Ferencvárosi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jun. 2022 |
FTC
4 - 1
KSC
63%
20%
17%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2022 |
FTC
3 - 0
LUD
47%
24%
29%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2022 |
FTC
0 - 3
SSG
52%
25%
24%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2022 |
FTC
1 - 1
SHK
64%
20%
17%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2022 |
FTC
8 - 0
CAR
90%
8%
2%
|
79 | 20 | 59 | 0 |