Tobol Kostanay vs FC Alma-Ata analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.4%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.8%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.8%
14.8%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tobol Kostanay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2004 |
TOB
2 - 1
YAS
62%
22%
16%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2004 |
KAI
1 - 3
TOB
28%
27%
45%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2004 |
AKZ
0 - 1
TOB
17%
25%
58%
|
77 | 60 | 17 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2004 |
TOB
4 - 0
SPA
57%
24%
19%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2004 |
TOB
5 - 0
VOS
65%
22%
13%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
FC Alma-Ata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2004 |
KYZ
1 - 0
ALM
50%
25%
25%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2004 |
ALM
1 - 2
FCA
35%
27%
38%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2004 |
ALM
0 - 3
SHA
39%
28%
33%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2004 |
ORD
3 - 1
ALM
45%
27%
28%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2004 |
ALM
1 - 0
TAR
63%
22%
16%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |