Tobol Kostanay vs Basel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.4%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.5%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.2%
24%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
51.6%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.6%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.8%
0-3
5%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.8%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tobol Kostanay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2023 |
BAS
1 - 3
TOB
60%
22%
18%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2023 |
TOB
2 - 0
OKZ
60%
23%
17%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2023 |
HON
0 - 0
TOB
32%
26%
43%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | +1 |
| 13 Jul. 2023 |
TOB
2 - 1
HON
56%
23%
21%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2023 |
ATY
0 - 1
TOB
30%
25%
45%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 2023 |
BAS
5 - 2
WIN
75%
17%
9%
|
84 | 68 | 16 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2023 |
BAS
1 - 3
TOB
60%
22%
18%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
STG
2 - 1
BAS
38%
24%
39%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2023 |
OLD
0 - 3
BAS
5%
13%
83%
|
84 | 38 | 46 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2023 |
BAS
1 - 3
SLB
27%
24%
49%
|
84 | 89 | 5 | 0 |