Tobol Kostanay vs Basel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
4%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.2%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.4%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
47.8%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
14.5%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.3%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tobol Kostanay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jul. 2006 |
EKI
2 - 1
TOB
29%
29%
42%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2006 |
TOB
0 - 0
EKI
67%
20%
13%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2006 |
BAS
3 - 1
TOB
72%
17%
11%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2006 |
TOB
4 - 1
ORD
64%
21%
14%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2006 |
ALM
1 - 0
TOB
31%
26%
43%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jul. 2006 |
BAS
3 - 0
SCH
80%
14%
6%
|
85 | 67 | 18 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2006 |
YOB
1 - 1
BAS
43%
24%
34%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2006 |
BAS
3 - 1
TOB
72%
17%
11%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2006 |
BAS
1 - 2
ZUR
50%
23%
27%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2006 |
YOB
4 - 2
BAS
39%
24%
37%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |