Q. Europa League 1st Round Final
Global 1-2
Tobol Kostanay vs Austria Wien analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.6%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.1%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
23%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tobol Kostanay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jul. 2008 |
KAI
1 - 1
TOB
41%
28%
31%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2008 |
TOB
2 - 1
KAI
61%
22%
17%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2008 |
OKZ
1 - 1
TOB
27%
29%
44%
|
77 | 63 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2008 |
TOB
3 - 0
ENE
69%
19%
12%
|
77 | 63 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2008 |
TOB
1 - 1
KAI
66%
21%
14%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Austria Wien
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jul. 2008 |
KAP
2 - 2
AUS
34%
28%
38%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2008 |
AUS
1 - 1
AUK
54%
25%
21%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2008 |
AUS
2 - 1
WIN
56%
24%
20%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2008 |
RBS
2 - 0
AUS
58%
23%
19%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2008 |
ALT
0 - 4
AUS
39%
28%
33%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |