Tobol Kostanay vs Astana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.4%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.4%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
30.5%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tobol Kostanay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2012 |
ATY
1 - 1
TOB
30%
27%
44%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
TOB
3 - 1
OKZ
76%
16%
8%
|
73 | 59 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
TOB
3 - 1
SHA
46%
26%
28%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
FCI
4 - 1
TOB
49%
26%
25%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
TOB
4 - 0
KAI
75%
17%
8%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Astana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2012 |
AST
2 - 2
FCI
50%
25%
25%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
KAI
0 - 2
AST
19%
26%
55%
|
77 | 61 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
AST
2 - 1
AKZ
73%
18%
9%
|
77 | 63 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
AST
0 - 2
TAR
71%
19%
10%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
SHA
2 - 0
AST
47%
25%
28%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |