Tobermore United vs Portstewart analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.2%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.2%
2-0
4%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.7%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.2%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
44.5%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
13.4%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+76%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
2º
8º
8º
21
7º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
53 | 57 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
44 | 47 |
2º
|
78% | |
|
2º
|
45 | 45 |
3º
|
78% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 39 |
4º
|
99% | |
|
5º
|
29 | 32 |
5º
|
80.5% | |
|
6º
|
27 | 28 |
6º
|
30.5% | |
|
8º
|
24 | 27 |
7º
|
25.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
25 | 26 |
8º
|
41.5% | |
|
10º
|
20 | 23 |
9º
|
65.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
21 | 21 |
10º
|
75% | |
|
11º
|
17 | 18 |
11º
|
88.5% | |
|
12º
|
11 | 14 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
32% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
68% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tobermore United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
TOB
0 - 5
LIM
14%
20%
66%
|
32 | 50 | 18 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
TOB
2 - 0
BAN
8%
16%
77%
|
30 | 56 | 26 | +2 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
QUB
2 - 1
TOB
82%
12%
6%
|
33 | 49 | 16 | -3 |
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
TOB
3 - 3
ARC
27%
22%
52%
|
31 | 41 | 10 | +2 |
| 02 Jan. 2023 |
BRF
2 - 1
TOB
84%
11%
5%
|
32 | 53 | 21 | -1 |
Matches
Portstewart
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
PSN
1 - 2
POR
24%
21%
56%
|
39 | 26 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2023 |
MOY
2 - 1
POR
65%
20%
16%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
POR
1 - 2
LIS
53%
21%
27%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
POR
2 - 3
QUB
29%
25%
47%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2023 |
DOL
2 - 0
POR
69%
18%
13%
|
42 | 50 | 8 | -1 |