Tobermore United vs Lisburn Distillery analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.3%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.9%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
12.4%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.3%
59.4%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
4.9%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
2.8%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
17.5%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
4.2%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
11.1%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
5.7%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0.1%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-19%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
2º
8º
8º
27
6º
12º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
53 | 57 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
44 | 47 |
2º
|
78% | |
|
2º
|
45 | 45 |
3º
|
78% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 39 |
4º
|
99% | |
|
5º
|
29 | 32 |
5º
|
80.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
27 | 28 |
6º
|
30.5% | |
|
8º
|
24 | 27 |
7º
|
25.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
25 | 26 |
8º
|
41.5% | |
|
10º
|
20 | 23 |
9º
|
65.5% | |
|
9º
|
21 | 21 |
10º
|
75% | |
|
11º
|
17 | 18 |
11º
|
88.5% | |
|
12º
|
11 | 14 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
32% | 48% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
68% | 52% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tobermore United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
PSN
2 - 2
TOB
37%
22%
42%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
TOB
2 - 3
POR
33%
22%
45%
|
32 | 40 | 8 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
TOB
0 - 5
LIM
14%
20%
66%
|
32 | 50 | 18 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
TOB
2 - 0
BAN
8%
16%
77%
|
30 | 56 | 26 | +2 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
QUB
2 - 1
TOB
82%
12%
6%
|
33 | 49 | 16 | -3 |
Matches
Lisburn Distillery
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
LIS
3 - 1
PSN
77%
14%
9%
|
42 | 25 | 17 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
LIS
2 - 0
DOL
21%
22%
57%
|
39 | 49 | 10 | +3 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
BAN
3 - 2
LIS
50%
24%
26%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
LIS
2 - 1
QUB
22%
23%
55%
|
37 | 49 | 12 | +3 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
POR
1 - 2
LIS
53%
21%
27%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | 0 |