Tobacco Road vs Myrtle Beach Mutiny analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.1%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
4.9%
1-0
3%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
10.9%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.1%
63.8%
Win probability
2.48
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
4.8%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
7.6%
2-4
3%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
18.5%
0-3
6%
1-4
4.7%
2-5
1.5%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
12.4%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
2.3%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
6.7%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tobacco Road
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jul. 2018 |
CHA
2 - 2
TRF
78%
13%
9%
|
30 | 40 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2018 |
TRF
2 - 2
CAR
71%
16%
14%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 Jun. 2018 |
CHA
0 - 0
TRF
81%
12%
8%
|
30 | 41 | 11 | +1 |
| 21 Jun. 2018 |
TRF
1 - 3
NOC
39%
22%
40%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | -2 |
| 14 Jun. 2018 |
TRF
3 - 2
LFC
59%
19%
22%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Myrtle Beach Mutiny
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jul. 2018 |
MBM
5 - 3
LFC
86%
9%
5%
|
45 | 28 | 17 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2018 |
NOC
3 - 3
MBM
32%
25%
43%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2018 |
MBM
5 - 3
CAR
88%
8%
4%
|
45 | 25 | 20 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2018 |
MBM
6 - 0
CHA
36%
25%
39%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | +3 |
| 10 Jun. 2018 |
TOR
3 - 0
MBM
49%
24%
27%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | -2 |