Tlemcen vs USM Annaba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.3%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
15.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.5%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
22.7%
14%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tlemcen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2014 |
KHR
1 - 0
TLE
43%
28%
29%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2014 |
TLE
1 - 0
MSP
69%
20%
11%
|
61 | 50 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 2013 |
USC
1 - 0
TLE
33%
30%
37%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2013 |
TLE
0 - 1
ESM
71%
19%
11%
|
62 | 49 | 13 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 2013 |
AMA
0 - 1
TLE
34%
30%
36%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
USM Annaba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2014 |
USM
0 - 0
ESM
50%
27%
23%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2014 |
AMA
1 - 0
USM
47%
26%
26%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Dec. 2013 |
USM
3 - 0
USM
42%
28%
31%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 2013 |
USM
1 - 1
USC
47%
27%
26%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2013 |
OLY
1 - 0
USM
42%
29%
29%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | -1 |