Tlaxcala FC vs Orizaba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.5%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.8%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.8%
13.7%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tlaxcala FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
VER
1 - 1
TIA
20%
24%
56%
|
54 | 42 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
TIA
1 - 1
OUN
68%
19%
12%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
CHA
1 - 0
TIA
42%
26%
32%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
TIA
6 - 0
PET
79%
15%
7%
|
55 | 33 | 22 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
IPC
0 - 0
TIA
33%
26%
41%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Orizaba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
ORI
1 - 0
AME
25%
25%
50%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
TAM
0 - 0
ORI
70%
19%
11%
|
44 | 57 | 13 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
ORI
1 - 2
JAG
35%
27%
38%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
JAS
1 - 1
ORI
59%
23%
18%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
ORI
2 - 2
ATM
47%
26%
28%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | -1 |