Premier de Ascenso - Apertura Semi-finals
Global 1-3
Tlaxcala FC vs Cimarrones de Sonora analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.7%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
26.9%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-34%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tlaxcala FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2014 |
CIM
3 - 1
TIA
45%
25%
31%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
TIA
2 - 0
CAZ
35%
26%
39%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
CAZ
1 - 0
TIA
62%
21%
17%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
VER
0 - 1
TIA
20%
23%
57%
|
51 | 36 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
TIA
1 - 1
ACH
71%
18%
12%
|
52 | 39 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Cimarrones de Sonora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2014 |
CIM
3 - 1
TIA
45%
25%
31%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2014 |
CIM
4 - 0
LOR
40%
25%
35%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Nov. 2014 |
LOR
0 - 0
CIM
63%
20%
17%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 2014 |
CHI
0 - 1
CIM
22%
25%
54%
|
50 | 37 | 13 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
CIM
0 - 1
QUE
66%
20%
14%
|
51 | 42 | 9 | -1 |