Tivoli Gardens vs Sporting Central analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.8%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
17.5%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tivoli Gardens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2014 |
WAT
3 - 0
TRI
56%
24%
19%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2014 |
CAV
1 - 2
TRI
43%
28%
29%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2014 |
TRI
2 - 1
BOY
49%
26%
25%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
TRI
2 - 1
REN
61%
22%
17%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
TRI
2 - 3
RIV
52%
26%
23%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting Central
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2014 |
RIV
2 - 1
SPO
55%
25%
21%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2014 |
SPO
3 - 3
BAR
43%
28%
30%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
SPO
3 - 2
ARN
32%
28%
40%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2014 |
SPO
0 - 1
LIO
46%
27%
27%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
HAR
2 - 0
SPO
57%
25%
18%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |