Tivoli Gardens vs Sporting Central analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.1%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
12%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
15.8%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tivoli Gardens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Dec. 2013 |
MON
1 - 0
TRI
52%
26%
22%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2013 |
TRI
1 - 2
ARN
57%
25%
19%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2013 |
AUG
1 - 5
TRI
32%
30%
39%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | +1 |
| 09 Dec. 2013 |
HAR
1 - 0
TRI
49%
29%
22%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
TRI
0 - 0
SPO
65%
21%
14%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Sporting Central
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2013 |
SPO
1 - 0
BOY
37%
28%
35%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2013 |
LIO
2 - 1
SPO
47%
28%
25%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2013 |
SPO
1 - 2
POR
36%
28%
36%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2013 |
SPO
2 - 0
BOY
36%
28%
36%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
TRI
0 - 0
SPO
65%
21%
14%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | 0 |