Tivoli Gardens vs Sporting Central analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.4%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.1%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.3%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.3%
11.2%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tivoli Gardens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2013 |
WAT
1 - 1
TRI
53%
27%
21%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2013 |
TRI
0 - 3
CAV
56%
24%
20%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Dec. 2012 |
POR
1 - 0
TRI
40%
31%
29%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 2012 |
TRI
1 - 2
BOY
55%
25%
20%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2012 |
HIG
0 - 0
TRI
33%
30%
37%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting Central
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
SPO
0 - 2
HAR
29%
29%
43%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2013 |
MON
3 - 2
SPO
63%
23%
14%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | -1 |
| 23 Dec. 2012 |
SPO
1 - 1
ARN
40%
29%
32%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 2012 |
SAV
0 - 1
SPO
46%
28%
26%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2012 |
WAT
1 - 1
SPO
67%
21%
12%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | 0 |