Tivoli Gardens vs Sporting Central analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.4%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
8%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
16.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.9%
23%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
23%
13.5%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tivoli Gardens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
VIL
0 - 0
TRI
27%
28%
45%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2011 |
TRI
1 - 0
POR
64%
23%
13%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2011 |
HAR
0 - 1
TRI
42%
28%
29%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2011 |
TRI
1 - 1
WAT
60%
24%
16%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
BOY
2 - 2
TRI
37%
28%
35%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting Central
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
SPO
1 - 0
MON
54%
25%
21%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2011 |
REN
0 - 0
SPO
51%
26%
23%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
SPO
0 - 0
HIG
48%
26%
26%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
LIO
1 - 2
SPO
49%
28%
22%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
SPO
3 - 1
ARN
50%
27%
23%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | +1 |