Tivoli Gardens vs Sporting Central analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.8%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
15.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.7%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
24.2%
15.9%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tivoli Gardens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jan. 2008 |
REN
1 - 3
TRI
43%
28%
29%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2008 |
TRI
1 - 0
ARN
64%
22%
15%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | +1 |
| 02 Jan. 2008 |
POR
0 - 1
TRI
50%
27%
23%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2007 |
TRI
2 - 0
MON
58%
23%
19%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | +1 |
| 23 Dec. 2007 |
AUG
2 - 1
TRI
34%
28%
38%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Sporting Central
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jan. 2008 |
SPO
3 - 0
BOY
49%
26%
25%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2008 |
WAT
1 - 0
SPO
61%
22%
17%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | -1 |
| 02 Jan. 2008 |
SPO
0 - 3
HAR
33%
26%
42%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | -1 |
| 30 Dec. 2007 |
REN
0 - 0
SPO
56%
23%
21%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Dec. 2007 |
ARN
2 - 2
SPO
43%
27%
30%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |