Tirsense vs Varzim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.7%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.9%
1-0
11%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
32.4%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+60%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tirsense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2014 |
FAM
1 - 1
TIR
49%
25%
27%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
FEL
2 - 2
TIR
49%
24%
27%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
TIR
1 - 1
JOA
60%
23%
18%
|
48 | 40 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
RIB
1 - 2
TIR
51%
24%
25%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
TIR
2 - 2
ADO
48%
26%
26%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2014 |
VAR
3 - 1
JOA
58%
24%
18%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
RIB
1 - 1
VAR
44%
25%
31%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
VAR
1 - 0
ADO
49%
26%
25%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
LIX
1 - 4
VAR
25%
24%
50%
|
49 | 33 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
VAR
1 - 0
FEL
49%
26%
25%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | +1 |