Tirsense vs Monção analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
80.4%
Win probability
2.57
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
4%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.1%
4-0
7.8%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.4%
3-0
12.2%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.4%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
13.4%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
13.4%
6.1%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.8%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
44
1º
6º
4º
26
9º
14º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
51 | 51 |
1º
|
57.5% | |
|
2º
|
50 | 51 |
2º
|
57.5% | |
|
4º
|
43 | 46 |
3º
|
89% | |
|
|
3º
|
44 | 44 |
4º
|
89% | |
|
5º
|
39 | 39 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 36 |
6º
|
82% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
82% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 34 |
8º
|
68% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 33 |
9º
|
68% | |
|
10º
|
29 | 30 |
10º
|
76% | |
|
13º
|
24 | 27 |
11º
|
14% | |
|
|
11º
|
26 | 27 |
12º
|
17% | |
|
12º
|
25 | 25 |
13º
|
49% | |
|
14º
|
18 | 18 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 97.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 2.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tirsense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
VPE
1 - 6
TIR
11%
19%
70%
|
38 | 15 | 23 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
SAN
0 - 1
TIR
58%
21%
21%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
VAR
1 - 1
TIR
78%
17%
6%
|
37 | 58 | 21 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2022 |
VIL
0 - 0
TIR
31%
26%
43%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2022 |
TIR
3 - 2
BSC
63%
20%
16%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Monção
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
MON
1 - 2
PEV
31%
23%
47%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
BRA
2 - 1
MON
46%
23%
32%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
MON
2 - 2
GRA
34%
23%
43%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2020 |
MON
1 - 2
RIO
3%
8%
89%
|
20 | 80 | 60 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2020 |
MON
2 - 0
FCB
15%
19%
66%
|
16 | 37 | 21 | +4 |