Tirsense vs Amarante analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.2%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
27.1%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tirsense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
VIL
1 - 1
TIR
52%
25%
23%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
TIR
1 - 0
COI
49%
26%
25%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
SOB
1 - 2
TIR
41%
27%
33%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
TIR
0 - 3
CIN
46%
27%
28%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | -2 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
PED
1 - 1
TIR
47%
26%
27%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Amarante
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
PED
3 - 3
AMA
45%
26%
30%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
AMA
2 - 3
VIL
49%
23%
28%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | -2 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
AMA
0 - 2
SAL
57%
23%
21%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
AMA
2 - 2
BRA
44%
26%
30%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
COI
0 - 2
AMA
46%
26%
28%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | +1 |