Tiro Federal Morteros vs Jorge Newbery VM analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.2%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.9%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.6%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
41.4%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tiro Federal Morteros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2015 |
SAR
2 - 2
TIR
50%
24%
26%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2015 |
TIR
3 - 1
ALP
45%
24%
31%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
MON
0 - 0
TIR
73%
16%
11%
|
27 | 38 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
TIR
0 - 0
RAC
32%
24%
44%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2015 |
EST
2 - 1
TIR
74%
16%
10%
|
29 | 40 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Jorge Newbery VM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2015 |
NEW
3 - 2
ALP
64%
20%
16%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2015 |
MON
1 - 0
NEW
53%
22%
25%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | -2 |
| 12 Nov. 2015 |
NEW
3 - 0
RAC
47%
24%
30%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
EST
2 - 0
NEW
58%
21%
21%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | -2 |
| 28 Oct. 2015 |
NEW
2 - 0
SAR
64%
20%
16%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | -1 |