Tiro Federal Morteros vs Alumni Villa Maria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.5%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.6%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.7%
19.8%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tiro Federal Morteros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 2017 |
ALM
1 - 0
TIR
43%
23%
34%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2017 |
TIR
1 - 1
ARG
48%
23%
29%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2017 |
BNO
0 - 1
TIR
27%
23%
50%
|
32 | 22 | 10 | +1 |
| 08 Jul. 2017 |
RCU
1 - 0
TIR
19%
21%
60%
|
34 | 20 | 14 | -2 |
| 08 Feb. 2017 |
EST
5 - 0
TIR
53%
25%
22%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Alumni Villa Maria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 2017 |
CAA
1 - 1
SAR
47%
23%
30%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2017 |
RAC
1 - 0
CAA
64%
22%
14%
|
28 | 36 | 8 | -1 |
| 16 Jul. 2017 |
CAA
2 - 1
ALP
48%
22%
30%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Jul. 2017 |
ATE
4 - 1
CAA
20%
22%
58%
|
29 | 19 | 10 | -2 |
| 12 Nov. 2016 |
ARG
3 - 1
CAA
47%
24%
29%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | 0 |