UCL Qualifying First round Final
Global 4-6
KF Tirana vs Zimbru Chişinău analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.1%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.3%
2-0
8%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
24%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
26.9%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
KF Tirana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2000 |
TIR
4 - 0
DIN
67%
21%
12%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2000 |
SHQ
1 - 1
TIR
38%
29%
34%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2000 |
TIR
2 - 1
ELB
78%
16%
7%
|
78 | 64 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2000 |
APO
2 - 1
TIR
28%
29%
42%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2000 |
TIR
2 - 1
LUS
68%
20%
13%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Zimbru Chişinău
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jun. 2000 |
2 - 5
ZIM
32%
27%
42%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2000 |
ZIM
3 - 0
TIT
73%
17%
10%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2000 |
TIR
1 - 2
ZIM
47%
25%
28%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2000 |
ZIM
4 - 0
EDU
86%
10%
4%
|
78 | 49 | 29 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2000 |
ZIM
5 - 0
ROB
88%
9%
3%
|
78 | 60 | 18 | 0 |