KF Tirana vs Vllaznia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.4%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.3%
14.3%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
67
1º
6º
1º
50
2º
7º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
67 | 67 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
67 | 67 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
52 | 52 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
50 | 50 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 48 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
48 | 48 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
45 | 45 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 35 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
100% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
KF Tirana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2023 |
EGN
1 - 2
TIR
21%
28%
51%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2023 |
TIR
1 - 0
LUS
89%
9%
3%
|
75 | 47 | 28 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
KUK
2 - 0
TIR
26%
28%
46%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2023 |
ERZ
0 - 2
TIR
21%
28%
52%
|
76 | 62 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
TIR
4 - 1
BYL
76%
17%
8%
|
76 | 60 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Vllaznia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2023 |
VLZ
2 - 0
KUK
48%
26%
26%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2023 |
VLZ
1 - 1
BYL
64%
20%
16%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2023 |
ERZ
3 - 2
VLZ
31%
30%
39%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2023 |
BYL
1 - 0
VLZ
27%
30%
43%
|
71 | 59 | 12 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
VLZ
4 - 1
LAÇ
51%
27%
22%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | +1 |